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View Poll Results: Who wins?6
Valentina Shevchenko 18 100.00%
Joanna Jedrzejczyk 0 0%
Voters: 18. You may not vote on this poll

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  #1  
Old 03-Dec-18, 10:44
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Default Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

The big fight is this weekend.

Valentina vs. Joanna for the vacant 125lbs title.

Who wins and how?

I see Valentina as the slight favourite, but I see a lot of people talking like she already has it in the bag, which is a mistake, IMO. Joanna definitely has a chance of emerging victorious IMO.
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  #2  
Old 03-Dec-18, 16:32
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Should be a good fight - I will go with Valentina in a close one. But I wouldn’t bet the ranch on it.
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  #3  
Old 03-Dec-18, 16:37
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Valentina is bigger. Joanna's chin is suspect. I think Valentina wins via TKO, or it is a rather dull match that goes to a boring decision, ala Holm vs Shevchenko. Hope I'm wrong though. This is probably the highest level WMMA match to date, or top 3 for sure.
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  #4  
Old 03-Dec-18, 19:24
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

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Originally Posted by jiminy [Only Registered Users Can See LinksClick Here To Register]
The big fight is this weekend.

Valentina vs. Joanna for the vacant 125lbs title.

Who wins and how?

I see Valentina as the slight favourite, but I see a lot of people talking like she already has it in the bag, which is a mistake, IMO. Joanna definitely has a chance of emerging victorious IMO.

Valentina's shortest path to victory is to take the fight to the ground. She's not the best grappler, but Joanna just doesn't do that stuff.

That said, Valentina won all three muay thai fights she had with Joanna back in the day.

Valentina is an inch shorter, but has a reach advantage (67" vs 65"). Joanna both lands and absorbs a lot more blows per minute.
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Old 04-Dec-18, 07:08
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Valentina up to -300 now, with Joanna coming back at +250.

We're going to wait until Saturday to buy - or bet - however, as there have been way too many late withdrawals over the past couple of years.
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  #6  
Old 04-Dec-18, 16:01
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Valentina is superior in every respect,I cannot imagine that Joanna will be able to beat her. I hasten to add that my predictions are often wrong!
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  #7  
Old 04-Dec-18, 22:20
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

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Originally Posted by KillerCrushes [Only Registered Users Can See LinksClick Here To Register]
Valentina up to -300 now, with Joanna coming back at +250.

We're going to wait until Saturday to buy - or bet - however, as there have been way too many late withdrawals over the past couple of years.

This [Only Registered Users Can See LinksClick Here To Register] speculates that wagers on Joanna may increase toward Saturday because she's better known.

The post argues that Shevchenko is a good bet if her line moves to -200 or less.

I'm no gambler, but I can see where the author's argument might have merits.
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  #8  
Old 05-Dec-18, 18:51
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Quote:
Originally Posted by ClckwrkOra [Only Registered Users Can See LinksClick Here To Register]
This [Only Registered Users Can See LinksClick Here To Register] speculates that wagers on Joanna may increase toward Saturday because she's better known.

The post argues that Shevchenko is a good bet if her line moves to -200 or less.

I'm no gambler, but I can see where the author's argument might have merits.
Joanna has a bigger instagram following than Valentina, but Valentina has more followers (than Joanna) on twitter.

Joanna has had more title defenses, but I don't have any metrics on what that's meant for her as a box office attraction. Outside of Waterson and VanZant, I don't ever see significant amounts of chatter about the strawweights (115s).

I think the public money will stay on Valentina - I'm seeing her up to -360 this morning on bestfightodds - so I would not expect to see anything in the -200 range before fight time. At +309, there's definitely good value in taking Joanna. If you truly believe money is going to come in on Joanna, buy hard now and then you can capture a sweet little hedge if/when that line does come down for Valentina.

+300 for Joanna
-240 for Valentina (if it gets there, that is)

=> guaranteed win for the gambler
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  #9  
Old 05-Dec-18, 22:29
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

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Originally Posted by KillerCrushes [Only Registered Users Can See LinksClick Here To Register]
Joanna has a bigger instagram following than Valentina, but Valentina has more followers (than Joanna) on twitter.

Joanna has had more title defenses, but I don't have any metrics on what that's meant for her as a box office attraction. Outside of Waterson and VanZant, I don't ever see significant amounts of chatter about the strawweights (115s).

I think the public money will stay on Valentina - I'm seeing her up to -360 this morning on bestfightodds - so I would not expect to see anything in the -200 range before fight time. At +309, there's definitely good value in taking Joanna. If you truly believe money is going to come in on Joanna, buy hard now and then you can capture a sweet little hedge if/when that line does come down for Valentina.

+300 for Joanna
-240 for Valentina (if it gets there, that is)

=> guaranteed win for the gambler

Anything's possible, but I think the odds favor Valentina because she's proven better than Joanna on the feet and the ground.

I'm not inclined to wager with sportsbooks, simply because modern sharps have such sophisticated number-crunching on the chances most anything will (or will not) happen.
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  #10  
Old 06-Dec-18, 06:32
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Default Re: Valentina Shevchenko Vs. Joanna Jedrzejczyk

Quote:
Originally Posted by ClckwrkOra [Only Registered Users Can See LinksClick Here To Register]
Anything's possible, but I think the odds favor Valentina because she's proven better than Joanna on the feet and the ground.

I'm not inclined to wager with sportsbooks, simply because modern sharps have such sophisticated number-crunching on the chances most anything will (or will not) happen.
Yes, it's all math for the big players. To hell with feelings! lol

It's MMA, so a big striker like Joanna always has a chance to end a fight quickly, but given that she's had that muay thai success vs Joanna, I strongly expect Valentina to handle her business.
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